How does a recession
affect property investment?
How does a recessionaffect property investment?
As the UK economy officially enters a recession, the impact on the property market raises questions and opportunities for investors. We take a look at how investors can leverage the market’s nuances to secure profitable investments with long-term returns.
The latest recession
“The UK economy has officially entered recession, figures show,” reports Sky News. This downturn presents both challenges and unique opportunities for property investors.
The current recession echoes historical trends, but not all recessions are created equal. While economic downturns typically lead to financial challenges for individuals and businesses, they also present unique opportunities for proactive property investors and REITs. Understanding the dynamics of the market is crucial for maximising returns and minimising risks.
One of the primary impacts of a recession in the UK, is the fluctuation in property prices on the housing market. Unica Capital believe that a recession is not necessarily all doom and gloom. Pettyson Estate agents agree, “Entering a recession isn’t automatically bad for everybody.” The last major recession, commonly referred to as the Great Recession of 2008-09, saw varying effects across different sectors and locations. Similarly, the 2020 recession, driven by the unprecedented nature of the COVID-19 pandemic, brought its own set of challenges and opportunities. For investors adopting a long-term view of the market, the most pivotal part of any recession is the rate of recovery.
Opportunities for investors
Gladfish, highlights the potential for investors to capitalise on the market’s nuances. “Global economic recessions can bring about significant challenges, but they also present unique opportunities for property investors in the UK,” notes the article. In particular, London has performed far better than any major cities in the US and Europe since the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. And is in a far better position to recover from a UK and wider global recession. By diversifying portfolios and focusing on high-demand areas, and real estate investments with refurbishment or growth opportunities, investors can mitigate risks and capitalise on the market’s potential.
One significant opportunity during a recession is the ability to purchase properties at lower than market value. As economic downturns lead to financial challenges for individuals and businesses, distressed properties often become available for sale at discounted prices. While a downturn can hurt the short-term performance of commercial real estate, it is essential to remember that the market will eventually recover. For investors with liquid capital (such as Unica Capital), this presents a unique advantage to acquire high-quality assets at a lower cost, potentially unlocking significant value in the long term.
Despite the challenges posed by economic downturns, the UK property market has historically shown resilience and the ability to recover. The private rented sector (PRS) tends to be counter cyclical to the sales market. Even during times of uncertainty, rental demand remains robust, providing a stable income stream for investors.
A Long Term Approach
Unica Capital’s commitment to identifying, financing, and managing unmatched real estate investment opportunities positions investors to capitalise on the market’s nuances. With a portfolio comprising prime office real estate across London and international properties, such as long term rental properties in the Alps, Unica Capital offers investors access to high-performing markets with long-term growth potential.
Taking a long-term view is crucial when investing in the property market during a recession. Looking beyond short-term economic fluctuations, investors should consider strategic investment opportunities with strong potential for sustainable growth. Factors such as population growth, infrastructure development, and government policies can significantly impact the market in the coming years, influencing the performance of real estate investment properties.
Despite the challenges posed by global recessions, historical trends have shown that the UK and European property markets, in particular London, often recover after a downturn, making it an attractive option for long-term investment.
As investors navigate through economic uncertainties, maintaining focus, diversifying portfolios, and leveraging investment fundamentals are key. By partnering with reputable real estate investment trusts like Unica Capital, investors can seize opportunities and invest in resilient property portfolios even during recessions.
Published: February 22 2024
Author: Byron Baciocchi